Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.000267 3.604442 4.281278 5.093065 6.037477 7.098641 8.378250
2025-06-01 2.114346 2.872894 3.814781 5.059456 6.648794 8.596955 11.150536
2025-06-08 1.596803 2.410370 3.511990 5.088487 7.257788 10.104874 14.084297
2025-06-15 1.238047 2.052345 3.242134 5.065715 7.738486 11.450833 16.918982
2025-06-22 0.930680 1.686882 2.873810 4.812087 7.820611 12.216528 18.998263
2025-06-29 0.751854 1.476711 2.689212 4.782140 8.195133 13.401426 21.751667
2025-07-06 0.614938 1.303433 2.525991 4.747293 8.536485 14.545332 24.522846
2025-07-13 0.556028 1.257372 2.566874 5.049557 9.443945 16.635451 28.914678
2025-07-20 0.488420 1.178420 2.532504 5.209017 10.119209 18.401733 32.925317
2025-07-27 0.442855 1.134111 2.553630 5.466958 10.985183 20.546030 37.708085
2025-08-03 0.378266 1.033282 2.445475 5.461708 11.370027 21.896644 41.255821
2025-08-10 0.307347 0.900289 2.247071 5.247698 11.336113 22.503097 43.560307
2025-08-17 0.244619 0.772328 2.039161 4.989513 11.198739 22.932543 45.631495
2025-08-24 0.208206 0.702924 1.950117 4.969378 11.527719 24.242915 49.382207
2025-08-31 0.180484 0.649883 1.889655 5.002379 11.966168 25.791725 53.680406
2025-09-07 0.154380 0.593927 1.811146 4.981452 12.285909 27.132838 57.679823
2025-09-14 0.123052 0.511413 1.647252 4.732047 12.079870 27.414134 59.667216
2025-09-21 0.105217 0.467546 1.578000 4.702706 12.356357 28.683894 63.659565
2025-09-28 0.089947 0.427466 1.511071 4.668426 12.615568 29.934263 67.692667
2025-10-05 0.086153 0.429375 1.567792 4.966299 13.682894 32.958519 75.493270
2025-10-12 0.078802 0.414917 1.572156 5.123454 14.427684 35.344410 82.128625
2025-10-19 0.074396 0.411278 1.609859 5.377672 15.433041 38.362296 90.248210
2025-10-26 0.064835 0.381844 1.558400 5.372498 15.792659 39.984627 95.535560